Californians More Obsessed Than Anyone About Housing Bubble in 2015

sf aerialThe folks at Estately decided to honor the closing of 2015 by running a bunch of search terms through Google and figuring out which states’ residents led the U.S. pack in searching for the same terms. Though the choice of terms may say more about Estately than about the U.S. populace at large (“Dad bod?” Really?) a couple of searches stood out for anyone interested in real estate matters.

First off, residents of California searched for the term “housing bubble” more than residents of any other state. And no wonder: They’re probably hoping or fearing that the crazy rise in home prices in the last year or two will soon end, or better yet turn in the other direction. (Whether they hope or fear depends largely on whether they’re planning to buy or sell a home.)

California prices went up by 6% or 7% in some areas, according to the California Department of Realtors (CAR). The median home value in California is currently $450,600, according to Zillow.

But people hoping for a bursting bubble may be disappointed, if CAR projections are correct. CAR is forecasting more modest price gains (due to factors like the Fed raising interest rates), but still expects home prices to increase in the 3% to 4% range.

Californians do have other things on their Googling mind, fortunately or not. Like the iPhone6, Mark Zuckerberg, and Kim Kardashian.

Meanwhile, in Florida, they’re Googling “home prices” at a higher rate than in any other state. But hey, with a median home price of $180,700, what are they worried about? (Actually, they’re worried about Trump’s net worth, Obamacare, and concealed weapons permits, according to Estately’s research).

Your Home Is Your Fortress: But Can Emergency Responders Get In?

ambulanceHolidays are for visiting family, which in my case means visiting a place with a lot of AARP publications sitting around. And one of the aforementioned (December 2015 AARP Bulletin) offers useful reminders on the effects of living behind carefully locked doors and barred windows, perhaps with a zealous security guard or a protective dog, if you need to be rescued by ambulance or fire personnel.

Bottom line: Your rescuers may not be able to reach you.

The article, ominously titled “When Every Second Counts,” cites “real-life tragedies,” in which emergency responders couldn’t break down doors or get past a dog’s sharp fangs in time to save the person inside.

It would all feel a bit sensational if it weren’t real. And fortunately, the article provides some simple, practical advice to tuck into one’s brain for an emergency moment, particularly if home alone: Turn on the lights and open the door after calling 911! If you live in a building with a security desk, call it, too. Better yet, if possible, step outside so that the EMTs can find you quickly; or send someone to wave them down.

In the meantime, AARP recommends thinking ahead about practical measures you can take to ensure that you can be located and reached quickly. For example, cutting back trees near one’s driveway, keeping stairs in good repair, and making sure your house numbers are freshly painted on the curb in reflective paint will all help avoid situations where an ambulance is circling the block or can’t get into the driveway.

Now, what about that dog? Unfortunately, you can’t explain to an animal who are the good guys and who are the bad. The article suggests locking pets away. I would underline that with a caution that, legally speaking, if you aren’t in a condition to restrain the dog and the dog looks ready to attack the first responders, they are schooled in the idea that it’s okay to kill an animal for defensive purposes. (See When Killing a Dog Is Legally Justified.)

Okay, with all that in mind, go ahead and climb that stepladder to put the star on top of the tree . . .

With Winter Storms Felling Trees, Do You Know What Your Homeowners’ Insurance Covers?

treefallStrong winds, heavy rain, and flooding are in the news in various parts of the U.S. this winter, and are all major forces in felling trees. Just this week, the National Weather Service issued high wind advisories for Wyoming, Washington, Oregon, and Montana, and also warned that, “The gusty winds could blow down weaker trees and branches.”

If you’re hearing the wind whip up outside your house, and there are any large trees nearby, now might be a good time to review the terms of your homeowners’ insurance policy.

If your policy is like most, it will cover repair costs associated with having wind blow one of your trees onto your house, garage, fence, or other structures. The same goes if the damage was caused by snow, hail, or sleet. The extent of coverage depends on your policy limits; and remember that you’ll have to pay your deductible first.

Your policy is less likely to cover damage to your landscaping.

Watch out, however: If the insurance company finds that you were negligent in caring for the tree–for example, failed to remove a large dead branch–it can deny you coverage, based on the concept that you yourself were a major cause of the damage.

Who owns the tree is not a key issue. Even it it’s your neighbor’s tree, your policy should cover the damage–again, assuming that your neighbors were not negligent in their tree care. If they were, your insurance company may help you go after theirs for coverage; or you may have to pursue a separate legal claim against the neighbors.

Also realize that homeowners’ insurance policies commonly do NOT cover the costs of removing a tree that simply falls over in your yard, large and unwieldy though it might be. Removal costs can quickly run into the thousands of dollars. Angie’s List offers some helpful advice on this, and warns against attempting tree removal on your own!

What if a tree falls on your car? Look to your auto insurance policy, assuming you didn’t waive “comprehensive coverage.” (If you took out a car loan, you probably lucked out on this issue–your lender likely insisted on comprehensive coverage.)

How about if the tree falls into the street? Your city may be willing to take care of removal, but you’ll need to look into this further.

For more information, see the homeowners’ insurance and neighbors sections of Nolo’s website.

The O Visa Wouldn’t Be So Popular If the H-1Bs Didn’t Always Run Out!

nobel_226pxAs explained in a recent Daily Journal article titled “Demand for extraordinary worker visas grows,” by Steven Crighton, a temporary (nonimmigrant) visa that’s sort of a pain to get–and not even profitable for lawyers to help with, in most cases–has been zooming upward in popularity recently.

It’s the O-1 visa, meant for outstanding workers who have a job offer in the U.S. to do specialized work in the sciences, arts, athletics, education, or business.

It’s not the sort of work visa you might choose to apply for if you had another choice readily open to you. The O-1 application process does, after all, involve proving that you’ve got extraordinary ability in your field and have received sustained national or international acclaim for it. You know, just pull out your Olympic medal or Man-Booker Prize (or at least your nomination for one of them).

Indeed, providing proof of such amazing-ness is not easy. Applicants will have to collect a big stack of documents–testimonials, employments contracts, critical reviews, endorsements, and so on. According to San Francisco attorney Kirsten Schlenger, who was quoted in the article, the immigration-lawyer tradition of charging flat fees often makes working on an O-1 “very unprofitable,” because “You always end up putting in so much more effort and time into them.”

So why has the number of O-1 filings more than doubled between 2004 and 2014, going from 6,981 to 15,164 (according to the U.S. Department of State)?

Simple: The visa that would have been most appropriate for many of these applicants is the H-1B, for temporary specialty workers. Only 85,000 H-1Bs can legally be given out per year. Last year, 230,000 people applied for them. That means many people were turned away not because they were ineligible, but simply because they weren’t lucky enough to be chosen out of the pile.

So, many workers’ O-1 applications may involve the equivalent of putting a square peg into a round (dare we say O-shaped?) hole. But at least the U.S.’s clunky and often irrational immigration system still provides this opening.

O’Malley Wants Fact-Checking? How About Language Checking?

borderIn the Saturday, November 15 CBS Democratic debate, presidential candidate Martin O’Malley responded to a question about U.S. border security as follows:

The truth of the matter is, net immigration from Mexico last year was zero. Fact check me. Go ahead. Check it out.

Several news outlets and fact-checking organizations took him up on the challenge.

But they mostly failed to pick up on a critical distinction, which actually determines whether he’s right or wrong (a distinction that probably worries every Mexican-American who listened to the debates):

Was O’Malley talking only about the immigration of undocumented persons (commonly referred to as “illegal immigration”), or about all immigration of Mexicans to the United States?

After all, according to U.S. government statistics, well over 100,000 people born in Mexico typically obtain lawful permanent residence (a green card) each year. They may do so through employers, marriage, and other entirely legal categories under U.S. immigration law.

O’Malley used only the word “immigration,” with no reference to this distinction. If ALL Mexican immigrants are what he meant to describe, he’s actually wrong.

According to data gathered by PolitiFact, the overall number of Mexican-born people living in the U.S. (a figure that would capture both documented and undocumented immigrants) was actually up by a couple hundred in 2014. Not a huge deal, but not “zero,” either.

It’s only when you look at the numbers of UNDOCUMENTED immigrants that O’Malley’s net-zero statement checks out, according to data from the Pew Research Center.

So, which is it, O’Malley? Was your language wrong, or were your facts wrong? It’s one or the other. Either way, someone running for the highest office in the U.S. needs to develop an acute awareness of difference between a legal immigrant and an undocumented one.