In case you haven’t heard (!), many members of Congress seem to believe that every single member of “the American People” stands vehemently opposed to the Affordable Care Act. Various Republican politicians have compared Obamacare to a disaster, a train wreck, and yes, slavery. But here’s an interesting dilemma for the GOP: The group with whom the Republicans want to identify so often — entrepreneurs and independent business people — will benefit significantly from the law.
According to a study on the Affordable Care Act and entrepreneurship conducted by several nonpartisan groups (including the Center on Health Insurance Reforms), Obamacare is expected to swell the ranks of the unemployed. The study predicts that more than 1.5 million people will go into business for themselves as a result of the law, a more than 10% increase. Why? Because they will no longer be stuck in jobs they would prefer to leave just to get health insurance.
There are legitimate debates as to whether the coverage offered through the new health care exchanges is truly affordable, and even the law’s most fervent supporters agree that the initial rollout of the online marketplaces has been a parade of technical glitches. However, no one can dispute that Obamacare makes it possible for many people to purchase health care who were previously priced out of the market or couldn’t even find a plan that would take them at any cost. Those who stayed in unsatisfying jobs to keep their benefits (a phenomenon known as “job lock”) will now be free to move on, purchase their own benefits on the exchange, and take the plunge to start their own businesses.
Employers who are planning to cut back on employee benefits might also see a lesson here. For companies that are planning to cut employee hours to less than 30 (to avoid having to provide benefits under Obamacare) or otherwise try to get around the law, there may well be an initial cost savings. But these strategies will also remove one of the strongest incentives for employees to stay at their jobs. And, the employees most likely to leave and start their own businesses are often the very employees the company would most like to keep: the self-motivated, self-directed, business-minded cohort.